⚽ FootballData
0 – 3
AHT: 01CSV

29 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
13.3%
Shrewsbury
19.5%
Draw
67.2%
Sheffield Weds

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Shrewsbury

vs
1.89

Sheffield Weds

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
0-3
8.7%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-4
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).