Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Crawley Town
18.8%
Draw
57.3%
Basford United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Crawley Town
vs
2.38
Basford United
Markets
BTTS70.4%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.1%
1-3
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
2-3
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4.1%
3-2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).