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AHT: 01

02 Aug 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.6%
Bodrum FK
27.0%
Draw
49.4%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Bodrum FK

vs
1.67

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).