Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Alcorcon
30.9%
Draw
33.5%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Alcorcon
vs
0.96
Eldense
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
0-0
13.8%
0-1
13.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).