Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Accrington
29.0%
Draw
43.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Accrington
vs
1.16
Exeter
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).