⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01CSV

07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
8.4%
Eastleigh
15.1%
Draw
76.6%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Eastleigh

vs
2.74

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
1-3
8.0%
0-1
7.0%
1-1
6.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-4
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-5
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
0-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).