Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.4%
St. Gilloise
17.0%
Draw
5.6%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
St. Gilloise
vs
0.43
Dender
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.4%
1-0
15.6%
3-0
12.6%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
5-0
3.0%
4-1
3.0%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).