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AHT: 01CSV

15 Apr 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.2%
Magdeburg
22.2%
Draw
17.6%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Magdeburg

vs
1.07

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).