Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Bielefeld
28.6%
Draw
23.9%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Bielefeld
vs
0.99
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).