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HHT: 32CSV

20 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.3%
Albacete
31.7%
Draw
43.0%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Albacete

vs
1.08

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS34.7%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.5%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).