Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.0%
FC Koln
10.5%
Draw
5.5%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
3.37
FC Koln
vs
0.86
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.592.7%
Over 2.579.3%
Over 3.560.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-0
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
4.5%
3-2
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).