Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.1%
Bayern Munich
5.7%
Draw
2.2%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
4.16
Bayern Munich
vs
0.70
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.595.6%
Over 2.586.2%
Over 3.571.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
5-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
5-1
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
1-0
3.1%
1-1
2.4%
4-2
2.4%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).