Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Cittadella
28.2%
Draw
19.0%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Cittadella
vs
0.82
Lecco
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).