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25 Aug 2019 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.7%
Nurnberg
20.1%
Draw
12.2%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

2.23

Nurnberg

vs
0.86

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).