Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.1%
Heidenheim
16.0%
Draw
6.9%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Heidenheim
vs
0.65
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
7.0%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).