Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Crotone
27.4%
Draw
23.6%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Crotone
vs
1.04
Avellino
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).