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27 Mar 2025 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Leyton Orient
26.2%
Draw
30.5%
Stevenage

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Leyton Orient

vs
1.00

Stevenage

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).