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21 Jan 2026 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.0%
Forest Green
24.9%
Draw
18.2%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Forest Green

vs
0.92

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).