Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Orenburg
33.6%
Draw
28.7%
Rostov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Orenburg
vs
0.93
Rostov
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).