Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.2%
Yeovil
27.1%
Draw
51.7%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Yeovil
vs
1.60
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).