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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Pau FC
23.3%
Draw
43.2%
Grantham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Pau FC

vs
1.63

Grantham Town

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
0-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).