Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Doncaster
26.8%
Draw
28.5%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Doncaster
vs
0.98
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).