Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.0%
Gil Vicente
17.2%
Draw
10.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Gil Vicente
vs
0.69
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
5.3%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).