Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Almeria
24.5%
Draw
32.3%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Almeria
vs
1.38
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.1%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).