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AHT: 03CSV

23 Aug 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Standard
30.6%
Draw
38.6%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Standard

vs
1.18

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).