Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.8%
Birmingham
25.7%
Draw
20.5%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Birmingham
vs
0.97
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).