Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Stevenage
30.1%
Draw
25.3%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Stevenage
vs
0.77
Accrington
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).