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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Crowborough Athletic
24.3%
Draw
33.7%
South Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.51

Crowborough Athletic

vs
1.32

South Park

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).