Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.3%
Barcelona
9.8%
Draw
4.9%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
3.30
Barcelona
vs
0.75
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.557.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
4-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-0
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
1-1
4.4%
5-1
4.3%
3-2
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).