Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Lazio
28.8%
Draw
42.5%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Lazio
vs
1.20
Napoli
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).