Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Hull
28.2%
Draw
23.2%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Hull
vs
0.96
Oxford
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).