Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Accrington
25.3%
Draw
43.8%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Accrington
vs
1.41
Swindon
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).