Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.0%
Saint-Étienne
14.1%
Draw
74.8%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Saint-Étienne
vs
2.72
Lens
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.9%
Over 3.550.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-1
6.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-4
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-1
3.1%
0-5
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).