Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Rio Ave
28.7%
Draw
28.2%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Rio Ave
vs
1.08
Estrela
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).