Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Modena
34.7%
Draw
38.1%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Modena
vs
1.03
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.583.1%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.9%
0-1
14.7%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).