Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Middlesbrough
27.0%
Draw
16.4%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Middlesbrough
vs
0.72
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).