Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Birmingham
29.9%
Draw
31.9%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Birmingham
vs
1.11
Swansea
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).