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HHT: 20CSV

03 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.0%
Torino
20.9%
Draw
16.1%
Sampdoria

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

Torino

vs
0.86

Sampdoria

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).