Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Wrexham
27.0%
Draw
27.1%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Wrexham
vs
1.16
Swansea
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).