Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.4%
Asteras Tripolis
20.9%
Draw
69.7%
AEK
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Asteras Tripolis
vs
2.02
AEK
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.6%
0-1
13.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
1-3
6.1%
0-4
5.0%
1-0
3.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).