Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Venezia
27.8%
Draw
22.9%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Venezia
vs
0.81
Monza
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).