Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.4%
Deportivo Alavés
21.7%
Draw
64.8%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.90
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.5%
0-2
13.0%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
5.1%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).