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AHT: 01CSV

23 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
M'gladbach
24.4%
Draw
28.9%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

M'gladbach

vs
1.38

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS63.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).