Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Niort
23.5%
Draw
53.7%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Niort
vs
1.57
Red Star
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).