Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.3%
Alcorcon
35.0%
Draw
45.7%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.52
Alcorcon
vs
0.98
Alaves
Markets
BTTS25.3%
Over 0.577.9%
Over 1.544.2%
Over 2.519.2%
Over 3.56.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.1%
0-1
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-3
3.5%
2-0
3.0%
2-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%
2-2
1.5%
0-4
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).