Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Moreirense
23.0%
Draw
24.6%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Moreirense
vs
1.08
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).