Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.0%
York
9.4%
Draw
3.5%
Truro
Expected Goals (xG)
3.28
York
vs
0.61
Truro
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.0%
2-0
11.0%
4-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
5-0
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
6.0%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
3.9%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).