Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Wigan
27.6%
Draw
38.1%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Wigan
vs
1.09
Luton
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).