Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Leicester
23.2%
Draw
49.7%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Leicester
vs
1.97
Southampton
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
2-3
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).