Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Barnsley
21.2%
Draw
31.9%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Barnsley
vs
1.44
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).